Fire and Ice: The Clash of Entrepreneurial and Investor Mindsets



I have been thinking about the stark difference between the entrepreneurial and investor’s mindset. I think they are so different that they often contradict each other. Can you do both simultaneously? I’m not sure. But here are some thoughts on the topic.


The Contradictions:

  1. Optimism vs. Realism: Entrepreneurs see opportunities in every challenge; investors see potential pitfalls in every opportunity.
  2. Action vs. Patience: Entrepreneurs leap and iterate; investors observe and calculate.
  3. Vision vs. Evidence: Entrepreneurs are guided by their vision of the future; investors are anchored by historical data and present fundamentals.
  4. Creation vs. Predicting: Entrepreneurs strive to create the future; investors attempt to predict it.
  5. Emotional Investment vs. Emotional Detachment: Entrepreneurs ride the rollercoaster of their venture; investors aim to remain stoically analytical.

Let’s dive deeper into each mindset.


Entrepreneur
Optimistic, Action-Oriented, Beginner’s Mind,
Delusional Self-belief, Playful, Growth-minded, Experimental, Stubborn, Idealistic, Marketing, Visionary, Iron-willed

How I think of entrepreneurship – taking the leap, having great time and believe everything will be okay. Novelty and a Brave New World!

The Entrepreneur’s Mindset:

  1. You breathe optimism. Your mantra? “There’s always a way!”
  2. You keep a low-status identity. It is not about the ego; It is about making your vision a reality. Looking goofy and having a beginner’s mind is what gives you superpowers.
  3. You believe in yourself to the point of delusion. With 90% of startups failing, you need to defy statistics with self-belief.
  4. You’re all about action. Action breeds information. Even if don’t know and you start lame, you’ll iterate to success with feedback from your actions.
  5. You rock a growth mindset and love experiments.
  6. You’re a walking paradox: narrow-minded in pursuit of your vision, yet open minded enough to pivot when reality demands it.
  7. You surround yourself with like-minded folks. Use critics to improve, but don’t let their mindset infect you.
  8. You need luck. Luck is something you cultivate, by putting yourself out there constantly.
  9. You WILL things into existence. SO, you need IRON WILL!

To be an entrepreneur, you need OPTIMISM. You BELIEVE IN YOURSELF and know you’ll find a way, no matter what. You live by the mantra – THERE’S ALWAYS A WAY. And you just do it. You believe action produces information, so you keep pushing, getting more clarity in the process. You know you can iterate on every mistake. You use sheer will to push through and make it happen.

You don’t take yourself too seriously. Experiment until you make it. Keep a low-status moat around your identity. Your identity is not tied to “successful” or “smart”. It is tied to being a learner, a doer, someone who makes things happen. You are willing to look foolish, to experiment, to iterate. To be an entrepreneur, you are narrow-minded and a bit arrogant, without taking yourself too seriously.

You’ll need luck to get the timing right, to get in front of the right people, and to catch a tailwind. Otherwise, you might create great things that nobody appreciates or buys because their time hasn’t come yet.

Investor
Realistic, Patient, Observant, Logical, Wise, Probability-focused, Humble, Hypothesis-driven, Psychology-savvy, History studying, Unemotional, Risk-managing, Self-believing

how I think of the investor’s mindset – detached, observing and letting cold logic guide you. This has happened before in history, nothing new.

The Investor’s Mindset:

  1. You’re a realist. You see things as they are, not as you wish them to be.
  2. You don’t play social games. You transcend humanity’s folly and bet on it.
  3. You believe in your ability to make it.
  4. You don’t take yourself too seriously. The market knows – you don’t. It’s a probability game, not about being right.
  5. You ask yourself: “Do I want to be right, or do I want to make money?”
  6. You provide liquidity based on growth potential or people’s delusions. You support ideas with evidence, not blind belief.
  7. Your ally is patience, not action. You act 1% of the time; the rest is observation and judgment.
  8. You cultivate a practical and wise mindset.
  9. You don’t need luck. You need great wisdom, knowledge, probabilistic thinking, and decision-making skills.

As an investor, you let realism and logic guide your decisions. Can’t be optimistic – most ventures fail, and people often succumb to vices and mistakes. You need to know reality. You master people’s psychology and their reactions to fear and greed. You are a scholar of capital markets and human reactive behavior to economic dynamics.

Your status doesn’t matter much; you’re interacting with decisions, not people. Treat investing as a probability game, not a battle of right or wrong. Don’t risk more than 10% of your portfolio on a single investment. Yet, you will not follow that rule. This will bring you into troubles.

You expect to face losses or even go bankrupt a few times. When that happens, you need the believe in yourself to bounce back and learn your lessons.

Conclusion

Can these mindsets coexist in one brain, or do they inevitably clash? It’s like trying to be fire and ice simultaneously. The entrepreneur in you wants to bet big on your vision, while the investor side urges caution and diversification. Does embracing one mindset diminish the effectiveness of the other?

Self-Actualization : The Economics of Rarity, Fungibility and the Pursuit of Uncommon Goals

TL;DR
Certain achievements contribute more objectively to your personal growth and the value you bring to others. Utilize economic principles to understand the objective worth of your ambitions, and consider non-fungibility as a measure of uniqueness and distinction.

The drive to Achieve great things is an essential part of what makes us human. It’s what pushes us to explore new frontiers, create groundbreaking innovations, and aim for the stars. Our collective achievements have taken us from the days of hunting and gathering to building skyscrapers and sending rockets to space. This desire for Achievements helps us grow individually and benefits all of us as a society.

Are There Better Achievements to Pursue?
Value in achievements can be subjective, as individuals may have their own understanding of what is valuable. However, self-actualization often intertwines with creating value for others, making it essential to assess our accomplishments objectively.
For example comparing the objective value of buying a Lamborghini to establishing a local bakery may seem straightforward, but what about choosing between putting time and effort to prepare for climbing Mount Everest and putting time and effort making $ to purchasing that Lambo? To determine which achievement is more valuable, we can apply objective models from economics to measure the value of these endeavors.

The Economics of Achievement
When considering the value of achievements, we can use economic principles such as supply and demand and fungibility to select more valuable accomplishments. For example, an achievement with the same demand but different supply would be more valuable, as shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1 (Supply and Demand of Achievements)

In the example of mount Everest vs Lamborghini, to climb Mount Everest, you need to train hard, prepare physically and mentally, and risk your life. The scarcity of Everest summits makes this achievement more valuable from an economic standpoint, even if the demand for both experiences is the same(Figure 1). Additionally, a Lamborghini is a fungible asset that can be bought or traded, whereas climbing Everest is a non-fungible achievement that cannot be bought—it must be earned.
For instance, climbing 14 peaks above 8,000 meters in seven months is a non-fungible achievement that cannot be traded for another accomplishment. In contrast, owning 14 Lamborghinis can be traded for other assets, making them more fungible and less valuable.

The Allure of the Uncommon and Non-Fungible
The rarity and non-fungibility of certain achievements inherently make them more attractive to those seeking to differentiate themselves from the crowd. When we pursue uncommon, non-fungible goals, we are not only seeking personal growth and self-actualization but also striving to set ourselves apart. This pursuit of the extraordinary can lead to increased self-esteem, personal satisfaction, and a heightened sense of accomplishment.

The Social Impact of Uncommon Achievements
The pursuit of exclusive, non-fungible achievements can also have a positive social impact. When individuals achieve remarkable feats or overcome significant challenges, they inspire others to explore their own potential and push the boundaries of what they believe is possible. This ripple effect can lead to a Culture of growth and development, as well as create new opportunities for innovation and problem-solving.

Conclusion
In conclusion, evaluating achievements through the principles of rarity, fungibility, and exclusivity offers a useful perspective on the nature of achievements. By considering supply and demand, personal effort, and the pursuit of uncommon goals, we can recognize the value of unique and non-fungible achievements. Embracing this paradigm shift can inspire individuals to redefine success, ultimately fostering a more diverse and fulfilling society that continually challenges the status quo..

Next $100M companies will be solo companies!

TL;DR: The landscape is ripe for solo companies, owing to a confluence of current trends. Key among these are technological advancements, particularly in AI, which are enabling this shift. The rapidly expanding digital economy, increased democratization of knowledge, and wider access to AI technology play pivotal roles. Furthermore, the NoCode movement is making software development more accessible to non-programmers, increasing the pool of it-entrepreneurs. Just as mobile technology once disrupted the business landscape, AI is now forging a new wave of opportunities for entrepreneurs.



Technologies and Trends enabling the rise of 1 person companies:

  • Growing consumption of native digital products
  • AI enabling end-to-end automation for digital products
  • Rising interest rates prompting less risky and more productive investments
  • AI bringing productivity quantifiable value through automation
  • Increased adoption of data-infused decision-making
  • Cheap access to knowledge and technology/ AI for everybody with internet
  • A larger pool of remote workers and laid-off developers venturing into solopreneurship or side hustles
  • No-code movement allowing more people to participate in Software development processes

The Era we live in
We’re traversing a period where the boundaries of streamlining and automation are continually expanding, particularly within the digital realm. Here, processes occur electronically, eliminating the need for physical interference, making them ideally suited for optimization.

Companies producing digital products, like SaaS, platforms and services dealing with data, design, or content, are increasingly using AI for their processes rather than relying on humans. This transition facilitates the movement to more automation. People using automation agents and software such as Zappier to automate workflows is a growing trend.

Simultaneously the amount of time people spend using electronic devices is increasing, resulting in a growing demand for purely digital products. This has led to a flourishing digital economy, which provides entrepreneurs with the motivation to create within this field, and also increases the size of the digital economies making more of $100M companies possible.

What are companies really?
Companies are in their fundamental layer a node of skills and knowledge that are engaged in the production of products or services for the purpose of making profits.

A single person can now operate a combine harvester, performing tasks like cutting crops, threshing, cleaning, and discharging it in a ready to sale form.
In the past, it took hundreds of people to carry out these operations.

When we talk about purely digital products the production of which can be largely automated. Value can be added end-to-end through the whole value chain in an automated way using APIs, LMs, workflows and so on.
Just 1 person orchestrating and building the workflows, like the person in the harvester combine.

AI a new innovation platform to build upon. disruptive as mobile
The introduction of these AI technology can be seen similarly to the introduction of the mobile which gave the ability for new products and business models to be unlocked.
The mobile phone with its internet connectivity and features made it possible for entrepreneurs to create dynamic on-the-go and everywhere-to-be-reached experiences. Suddenly we did not need maps and we could reach to people all the time. It made us more connected and more engaged.
The AI on the other hand is supposed to make us less engaged, relieve us from mundane repetitive tasks and enhance our capacity to derive value from big amounts of data.

ChatGPT, Midjourney, and other AI-powered technologies are just scratching the surface, but they are already demonstrating how they can replace skilled human labor in the processes necessary for creating products and services

The Entrepreneur – 1 man and the AI

AI is just a tool (for now 😐 ), thus it comes to the entrepreneur to implement it as a technology. Automating processes is bringing productivity and cutting costs for a company and these are legitimate goals of a company. – and the entrepreneur by extension.
And how cool would be to create self-operating automated machines serving the society for profit – definitely an entrepreneurial goal.

We can already see these 1 person operated AI technologies being implemented to create market-research or content services . With the development of more tools and bettering up the AI technology even more would be possible.

We are also seeing a larger pool of potential entrepreneurs as the NoCode movement gives more people to work with software without being programmers. Also, many laid-off recently software engineers will be contributing to the area.

I am creating 3 Start-Ups and writing 1 book during the Year of the Rabbit.

This article will be dynamically updated.

What’s for you?
– Perhaps can create useful services for you?
– Inspiration ?
– Learning with me on the journey as I will be public with it?
– If it is something else, please contact me and share – interested to know.

What do I need?
– Ideas or tools on how to Validate ideas faster , or automatize operational processes.
– Feedback


The conditions:
– 1 offline company , 1 connected to China company and 1 whatever the company
– As much as possible organizational setup paving the road to autonomous organizations (or at least no need for me)
– Be as public as sensible (value > effort) on the progress and events during the journey.
– be fast and experimentenious (is that a word?) , less deliberate contingency 3rd order effect plans

Success criteria:
– Paying customers or
– Organic growth of interest / traction

The Why?

What do you mean the why?
– Bringing value for other people while having mighty FUN in the process!

I am intrinsically motivated by creation and innovation that might better of existing systems or bring happiness and prosperity for others.

I believe we live in the times when Autonomous Organization are possible and tedious but very important repetitive processes can be done by robots.
Would like to explore that domain.

The progress section:
Here I will try to share updates as things happen on the 3 companies started.

Company 1

Company 2

Company 3